Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Caracas)


	Caracas		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.2	2.7	3.35
	2.3	2.85	3.1
	2.25	2.5	3.58
	2.25	2.88	3.3
	2.15	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.27)	2.82 ↓ (2.85)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
40.5%

Draw
32%

Deportivo Lara
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

32%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

32.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Deportivo Lara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Caracas aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Caracas - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caracas: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caracas won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Caracas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caracas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Caracas won 9 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Caracas won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
10.09.22	Zamora - Caracas	3:3 ✺
03.09.22	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Caracas - Academia Puerto Cabello	3:1 ✺
13.08.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLWL
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.09.22	Deportivo Lara - Mineros de Guayana	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Monagas - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:2 ✺
19.08.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
12.08.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo Lara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
03.03.22	Deportivo Lara - Caracas	1:1
05.12.21	Caracas - Deportivo Lara	2:2
14.11.21	Deportivo Lara - Caracas	0:0
15.12.20	Deportivo Lara - Caracas	1:0
28.11.19	Caracas - Deportivo Lara	2:0
25.11.19	Deportivo Lara - Caracas	0:1
28.07.19	Caracas - Deportivo Lara	Lara awarded

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