Match Info

Liga 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.15
	1.7	3.26	4.41
	1.90	3.14	4.36	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.17
	3.85	3.45	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (3.98)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	3.77 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
44.8%

Draw
29.2%

Cajamarca
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

25.9%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

27.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cajamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad César Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+28.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cajamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rabines M. (G) 72. Ascues A. 31. Caballero E. 9. Carando D. 21. Cavero S. 8. Cornejo M. 28. Correa M. 5. Da Rosa F. 17. Morales J. (C) 27. Quispe J. 11. Rojas Castilla A. S.	3. Medina J. (G) 16. Bernaola B. 7. Casquete A. 22. Cuadros D. 25. Goyoneche P. (C) 18. Mesias Silva P. C. 20. Meza C. 29. Ocas F. 13. Sanchez A. 26. Timana H. 30. Vega J. C.
Substitutes
77. Cortez J. 15. Grandez G. 20. Paiva F. 14. Requena P. 80. Sandoval V. 90. Succar A. 1. Vargas J. (G) 18. Vasquez D. 16. Villamarin J.	27. Chavez D. 17. Guadalupe Q. 28. Guevara R. 33. Leguia F. 2. Merino B. 1. Sandi M. (G) 4. Segura J. 8. Tello Y. 12. Zeta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Quispe J. 🟨,
40', Cuadros D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
54', Bernaola B. 🟨,
61', Ascues A. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
61', Correa M. ↓, Grandez G. ↑,
77', Carando D. ↓, Succar A. ↑,
77', Cavero S. ↓, Sandoval V. ↑,
86', Ocas F. ↓, Zeta H. ↑,
86', Cuadros D. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
87', Casquete A. ↓, Tello Y. ↑,
88', Succar A. 🟨,
90+6', Mesias Silva P. C. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, César Vallejo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, César Vallejo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 2
05.10.25	Comerciantes Belén - Universidad César Vallejo	0:1 penalties ✺
21.09.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Universidad César Vallejo	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WTWWL
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 2
21.09.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
23.08.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
19.07.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0
01.06.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0
12.04.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	2:3

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