Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)


	Deportivo Macará		América de Quito

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6.75
	1.48	3.84	5.28
	1.44	3.7	7
	1.44	4.1	6.75	Watch
	1.45	3.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	3.91 ↓ (4.2)	6.44 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
62.8%

Draw
23.2%

América de Quito
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.2%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Deportivo Macará - América de Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). América de Quito will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macará: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Macará is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches América de Quito is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Macará is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Macará to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Macará won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Macará won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.08.23	Manta - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Chacaritas - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
02.08.23	Deportivo Macará - Vargas Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWTW
- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.08.23	América de Quito - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
23.08.23	9 de Octubre - América de Quito	1:0 ✺
16.08.23	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
10.08.23	América de Quito - Búhos ULVR	2:2 ✺
01.08.23	Manta - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
11.07.23	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1
07.06.23	Deportivo Macará - América de Quito	1:0
12.04.23	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.08.19	Deportivo Macará - América de Quito	1:0
16.03.19	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	0:1

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