Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 34

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Madryn		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	8.5
	1.53	3.3	7.25
	1.53	3.4	7.5
	1.53	3.53	8.32
	1.63	3.36	6.44	Watch
	1.5	3.3	8.5
	1.54	3.32	7.6
	1.53	3.4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	3.4 ↑ (3.14)	7.7 ↑ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
60.6%

Draw
27.4%

Guillermo Brown
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

29.4%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

27.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Deportivo Madryn - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 3. Zuliani H. 6. Calderon P. 8. Perez B. 5. Recalde F. 7. Crego D. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Peinipil J. 11. Ferreyra B.	1. Soria M. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Herranz N. 3. Pinto M. 8. Marin F. 5. Riquelme R. D. 10. Silva A. 11. Gorgerino C. 7. Sandoval H. 9. Moreno M.
Substitutes
13. Braghieri D. 15. Dionisio A. 19. Eseiza J. 12. Hass J. (G) 17. Jara E. 14. Mansilla M. 16. Moreno A. 20. Palacio J. 18. Porto J.	16. Alvarez B. 14. Chiavetto A. 20. Galeano M. 12. Giovini S. (G) 13. Gonzalez E. 17. Gutierrez S. 19. Jara A. 18. Luayza M. 15. Perez R.
Coaches
Gracian L.	Sialle A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Silva A. 🟨,
6', Werro V. 🟨,
11', Marin F. 🟨,
16', Gorgerino C. 🟥,
41', Riquelme R. D. 🟥,
45', Sandoval H. ↓, Luayza M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zuliani H. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
58', Marin F. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
63', Mansilla M. 🟨,
64', Peinipil J. ↓, Eseiza J. ↑,
70', Moreno M. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
84', Silva A. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Giacopuzzi F. ⚽,
90+2', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Braghieri D. ↑,
90+3', Sanchez N. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
90+6', Galeano M. 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).

Deportivo Madryn is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guillermo Brown is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Madryn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Madryn is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Deportivo Madryn to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Deportivo Madryn - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Deportivo Madryn - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Club Almagro - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWTW
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.09.24	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Chacarita Juniors - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Guillermo Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.24	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Madryn	0:1
23.03.22	Deportivo Madryn - Guillermo Brown	0:1

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