Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 2

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)


	Club Almagro		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.57	3.1	Watch
	2.72	2.42	3.2	Watch
	2.76	2.52	3.24
	2.82	2.36	3.51	Watch
	2.75	2.4	3.1
	2.74	2.62	3.1	Watch
	2.8	2.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 (2.76)	2.48 ↓ (2.49)	3.21 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
33.7%

Draw
37.4%

San Martín de Tucumán
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

37.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). San Martin T will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Cortave M. 3. Silcan E. 6. Ubeda S. 8. Marchioni J. 5. Vitale J. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Martinez E. 7. Palacio P. 9. Dornell T.	1. Sand D. (G) 4. Salazar V. 2. Ferreyra N. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Cisnero A. 8. Rodriguez L. 5. Brinone S. 10. Garcia M. 11. Rodriguez G. 7. Borasi B. 9. Pons F.
Substitutes
20. Benegas M. 13. Busto L. 17. Bustos J. 15. Fernandes 18. Lopez T. 16. Macies T. 19. Orlando J. 14. Tolosa N. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)	18. Castro N. 16. Diarte L. 20. Diellos D. 17. Juarez J. 15. Lopez K. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 14. Ovando L. 13. Penalba T. 19. Rodriguez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Ferreyra N. ⚽, Borasi B. (A),
5', Ferreyra N. 🟨,
16', Garcia M. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
46', Marchioni J. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
48', Dornell T. 🟨,
61', Palacio P. ↓, Macies T. ↑,
61', Bustamante F. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
64', Rodriguez G. ↓, Penalba T. ↑,
65', Vitale J. 🟨,
68', Vitale J. ↓, Busto L. ↑,
74', Dornell T. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
78', Pons F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
78', Salazar V. ↓, Juarez J. ↑,
87', Diellos D. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', Asis G. 🟥,
90+8', Brinone S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 0.

San Martin T may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de Tucumán - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.65%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.02.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Club Almagro - Güemes	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Club Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Los Andes - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTLL
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.02.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Deportivo Morón - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	San Miguel - San Martín de Tucumán	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Racing de Córdoba - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro	1:1
08.02.25	Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0
23.07.23	Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0
19.03.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro	1:0
19.03.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro	2:0
09.02.20	San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro	1:1
24.10.19	Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1

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