Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 1

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (Tucuman)


	San Martín de Tucumán		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	2.01	3	4.33	Watch
	1.98	2.9	4
				Watch
	2.04	2.95	4.43
	2.04	2.86	4.45	Watch
	2	2.8	4.2
	1.96	2.83	4.25	Watch
	2	3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.98)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	4.27 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
46.3%

Draw
32%

Patronato Parana
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

31.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Patronato (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 7. Borasi B. 5. Brinone S. 11. Cisnero A. 3. Diarte L. 2. Ferreyra N. 10. Garcia M. 8. Juarez J. 6. Parnisari E. 9. Pons F. 4. Salazar V.	1. Sosa A. (G) 8. Barinaga J. P. 5. Bravo F. 10. Cortes B. 6. Diaz G. 11. Heredia F. 2. Meritello F. 3. Moreyra F. 7. Pereyra V. L. 9. Rivero H. 4. Rueda W.
Substitutes
16. Castro N. 20. Diellos D. 17. Lopez K. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 18. Ovando L. 13. Penalba T. 19. Rodriguez G. 14. Rodriguez G. 15. Rodriguez L.	17. Enrique M. 13. Evangelista F. 15. Genez N. 18. Miro A. 12. Peralta R. (G) 16. Picco A. 19. Reynaga R. 14. Salas J. 20. Soldano F.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Borasi B. 🟨,
35', Moreyra F. 🟨,
36', Meritello F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rivero H. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
57', Juarez J. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
60', Barinaga J. P. 🟨,
65', Barinaga J. P. ↓, Picco A. ↑,
65', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Miro A. ↑,
68', Borasi B. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
68', Cisnero A. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
68', Garcia M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
73', Diaz G. 🟨,
75', Moreyra F. ↓, Evangelista F. ↑,
78', Bravo F. 🟨,
83', Cortes B. ↓, Genez N. ↑,
86', Brinone S. ↓, Castro N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 4.

In this match, San Martin T is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Patronato Parana - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.24%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.10.25	Deportivo Morón - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	San Miguel - San Martín de Tucumán	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Racing de Córdoba - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlanta Buenos Aires	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTTLW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.10.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	San Miguel - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Patronato Parana - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.06.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	0:1
23.02.25	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1
06.10.24	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1
20.05.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:0
17.09.23	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	1:3
07.05.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.11.18	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	3:3

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