Match Info

Date: 27 January 2021, Wednesday


	Deportivo Maipú		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.25
	2.2	2.85	3.2
	2.26	2.55	3.4
	2.4	2.69	3.68
	2.25	2.88	3.2
	2.34	2.73	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)	2.76 ↓ (2.82)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
40%

Draw
33%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

32.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21.7%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maipú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Resistencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Maipú - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Deportivo Maipú is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarmiento is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Deportivo Maipú have a series of home games.

Deportivo Maipú will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.01.21	Deportivo Maipú - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Camioneros	1:0 ✺
10.01.21	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	3:0 ✺
03.01.21	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
27.12.20	Deportivo Maipú - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLL
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.01.21	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:2 ✺
17.01.21	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Huracán Las Heras	2:1 ✺
11.01.21	Chaco For Ever - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:2 ✺
27.12.20	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
20.12.20	Güemes - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.03.19	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Deportivo Maipú	3:0

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