Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)


	Deportivo Maipú		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	3	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.8
	2.62	2.72	2.92	Watch
	2.72	2.84	3.05
	2.86	2.70	2.86	Watch
	2.75	2.62	2.9
	2.62	2.77	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.61)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
34.3%

Draw
34%

Deportivo Madryn
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

33.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

33.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Paredes L. 2. Arnijas L. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 8. Bonfigli M. 5. Villarreal M. (C) 10. Eggel M. 11. Sambueza R. 7. Saccone F. 9. Bonacci P.	1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Postel S. 3. Martinez D. 7. Crego D. 5. Recalde F. 8. Perez B. 10. Montagna E. 9. Silba L. 11. Rivero G.
Substitutes
16. Campagnaro M. 15. Cruz A. 13. Faggioli L. 12. Galardi N. (G) 14. Ozuna E. 20. Paulini S. 18. Sandoval I. 17. Silva T. 19. Yavante Gaitan D.	20. Ayala E. 16. Bustos A. 12. Hass J. (G) 18. Juncos B. 19. Mana N. 13. Mansilla M. 17. Nicolas T. J. 15. Pruzzo L. 14. Yossen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Sambueza R. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Bonfigli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Sambueza R. ↓, Ozuna E. ↑,
64', Montagna E. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Giacopuzzi F. ⚽,
75', Saccone F. ↓, Faggioli L. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Faggioli L. ⚽, Eggel M. (A),
80', Martinez D. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
80', Recalde F. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
85', Bonfigli M. ↓, Campagnaro M. ↑,
85', Bonacci P. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
85', Villarreal M. 🟨,
90', Crego D. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 2.

Deportivo Maipú has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Madryn is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Deportivo Madryn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.25	Deportivo Maipú - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Deportivo Maipú - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLWT
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Deportivo Madryn - San Martín de Tucumán	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Güemes - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
30.07.25	Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.25	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	1:1
25.09.23	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	0:0
13.05.23	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	2:3
27.08.22	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	2:2
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.01.21	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	2:0
10.01.21	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	3:0
09.02.20	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	1:4

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