The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 49.7%
Draw 30.9%
Deportivo Maipú 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
32.9%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
32.6%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Deportivo Maipú (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (C) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Kippes A. 6. Recalde L. 3. Ortega T. 8. Martinez R. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Dominguez A.
1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Arnijas L. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 8. Montero F. 5. Mansilla G. 10. Eggel M. (C) 11. Gobetto J. 7. Saccone F. 9. Cabrera L.
Substitutes
19. Barreto J. 14. Bindella A. 18. Fernandez M. 12. Glellel E. (G) 17. Luna R. 16. Postigo J. 13. Rasso I. 20. Spetale A. 15. Yangali J.
16. Bonfigli M. 19. Giacone J. 13. Leiva M. 14. Paulini S. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Rivarola F. 17. Silva T. 15. Vera J. 20. Viguet M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Vera U. ⚽, Vallejos M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 0, Lavezzi A. ⚽, Batista A. (A),
62', Mansilla G. ↓, Viguet M. ↑,
63', Cabrera L. 🟨,
71', Montero F. ↓, Giacone J. ↑,
74', Batista A. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
74', Dominguez A. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,
76', Gobetto J. 🟨,
81', Lavezzi A. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
81', Arnijas L. ↓, Bonfigli M. ↑,
81', Cabrera L. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
81', Martinez R. ↓, Rasso I. ↑,
85', Aguero Gimenez A. R. 🟨,
88', Vera U. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Faggioli L. ⚽, Eggel M. (A),
90+3', Vallejos M. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
Quilmes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Maipú has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Quilmes is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Argentina
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Marinelli G. (C) 
Glellel E. (G) 
Rivarola F. 
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