Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)


	Villa Dálmine		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.6
	2.85	2.9	2.5
	3	2.9	2.45
	3.21	2.83	2.64
	3	2.8	2.45
	3.1	3	2.49
	2.9	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.4)	2.93 ↓ (3.03)	2.52 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
31.1%

Draw
31.9%

Estudiantes de Caseros
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

26.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Dálmine's form might have worsened.

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Villa Dálmine - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Villa Dálmine - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
31.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.04.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Madryn	0:3 ✺
09.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.03.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	2:2
Argentinian Primera B
29.11.14	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	0:1 penalties
01.10.14	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	1:2

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