Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Deportivo Maldonado		Central Español

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4	Watch
	1.57	3.90	5.00
	1.65	3.6	4.4
	1.79	3.65	4.8
	1.65	3.93	4.88	Watch
	1.74	3.6	4.75
	1.76	3.83	4.15	Watch
	1.69	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 (1.69)	3.75 ↑ (3.62)	4.56 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
54.8%

Draw
24.8%

Central Español
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.5%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Segovia D. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 2. Fuica N. 42. Fernandez J. 22. Ramos J. 18. Mayada C. 8. Gonzalez M. 27. Sosa G. 28. Cartagena S. 9. Bolzan C. 16. Cesar R.	12. Pintado F. (G) 17. Fernandez L. 2. Rodriguez I. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 26. Cesar Nunes 24. Gandolfo G. 16. Mendez I. 7. Munoz F. 21. Pino L. 10. Aguilera M. 9. Tarragona R.
Substitutes
1. Freitas A. (G) 15. Gonzalez S. 30. Ibanez L. 31. Marino F. 29. Mozzone E. 10. Noble Sequeira A. M. 5. Nunez L. 32. Petryk H. 20. Tormo S. 23. Vila A.	8. Camarda F. 20. Dellarossa J. 3. Dupont J. 25. Madruga A. 1. Marquez E. (G) 77. Mereles E. 4. Montiel M. 15. Pou J. 19. Sequeira S. 27. Sosa F.
Coaches
Di Noia G.	Pacheco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Tarragona R. (Penalty Awarded),
13', 1 - 0, Cesar R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Cartagena S. 🟨,
61', Tarragona R. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
65', Bolzan C. 🟨,
67', Gandolfo G. 🟨,
68', Cartagena S. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
68', Bolzan C. ↓, Vila A. ↑,
68', Mayada C. ↓, Ibanez L. ↑,
80', Sosa G. ↓, Noble Sequeira A. M. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Ibanez L. ⚽,
86', Camarda F. 🟨,
89', Pino L. ↓, Montiel M. ↑,
89', Gonzalez M. ↓, Marino F. ↑,
89', Munoz F. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Noble Sequeira A. M. ⚽,

Preview

Maldonado is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Central Español has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Maldonado may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Maldonado is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Maldonado in today's match, at odds of 1.62.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Maldonado has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maldonado against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Maldonado	9	5	2	2	13:5	8	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW
- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.09.26	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Central Español - Montevideo City Torque	1:4 ✺
Uruguay Copa
17.09.26	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Cerro Largo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Racing Montevideo - Central Español	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.26	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.08.25	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2
31.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	0:0
20.08.19	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1

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