The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerro 26.8%
Draw 29%
Deportivo Maldonado 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
29.5%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
29.4%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Maldonado will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Vila A. ⚽,
66', 0 - 2, Vila A. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
Cerro has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Maldonado is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Maldonado holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Cerro has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cerro against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Cerro - the odds 3.56 are the expected chance of winning is 25.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.