Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Deportivo Marítimo		Unión Molinense

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.15	1.9
	3.79	3.25	1.95
	3.95	3.05	2.00	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.76	3.18	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.66)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Marítimo
24.3%

Draw
28.9%

Unión Molinense
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

28.2%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Marítimo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Deportivo Marítimo - Unión Molinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 🟥,
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Deportivo Marítimo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Molinense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Molinense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molinense	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
16	Deportivo Maritimo	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Marítimo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.03.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Santomera	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Caravaca - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Cieza	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Bala Azul - Deportivo Marítimo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLLL
- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.03.26	Muleño - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Unión Molinense - Atlético Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Santomera - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Cieza - Unión Molinense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.11.25	Unión Molinense - Deportivo Marítimo	3:1
20.04.25	Unión Molinense - Deportivo Marítimo	3:0
06.12.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Unión Molinense	1:2

Deportivo Marítimo - Unión Molinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide