Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Caravaca		Deportivo Marítimo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.55
	2	3.24	3.62
	2	3.1	3.4
	1.95	3.16	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)	3.15 ↓ (3.33)	3.56 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
45.8%

Draw
28.7%

Deportivo Marítimo
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Deportivo Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caravaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Marítimo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Caravaca - Deportivo Marítimo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Caravaca is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Caravaca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Deportivo Maritimo	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.02.26	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Caravaca - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Santomera - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Muleño - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Caravaca - Cieza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TTLTT
- Deportivo Marítimo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.02.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Cieza	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Bala Azul - Deportivo Marítimo	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Olímpico de Totana	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Cartagena B - Deportivo Marítimo	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Real Murcia B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Caravaca	3:0
16.03.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Caravaca	4:1
04.01.25	Caravaca - Deportivo Marítimo	1:1

Caravaca - Deportivo Marítimo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide