Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Santomera |
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Unión Molinense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.35 |
3.1 |
2.05 |
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3.47 |
3.07 |
2.11 |
Watch |
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3.3 |
3 |
2.05 |
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3.33 |
3.33 |
2.14 |
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3.56 |
3.2 |
1.97 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.4 ↓ (3.56) |
3.14 ↓ (3.2) |
2.06 ↑ (1.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santomera 26.8% | Draw 29% | Unión Molinense 44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santomera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)Santomera - Unión Molinense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 2, Agullo F. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).Santomera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Molinense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Molinense could have a small edge in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santomera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Santomera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santomera | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
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| 4 | Molinense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 | | | 12.10.25 | Unión Molinense - Santomera | 0:1 | | 25.05.25 | Unión Molinense - Santomera | 1:2 | | 17.05.25 | Santomera - Unión Molinense | 0:0 | | 15.02.25 | Santomera - Unión Molinense | 0:1 | | 06.10.24 | Unión Molinense - Santomera | 2:2 |
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