Match Info

Primera B - Round 15

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos V (Jauregui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Flandria		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.68	2.98	Watch
	2.59	2.6	3.01
	2.69	2.49	3.14	Watch
	2.63	2.5	3
	2.58	2.61	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.49)	2.58 ↓ (2.68)	3.03 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Flandria
34.9%

Draw
35.2%

Deportivo Merlo
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

34.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

34.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Deportivo Merlo (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Merlo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morel C. (G) 11. Brestt F. 10. Costa F. 7. Diosquez N. 9. Gimenez B. 8. Gimenez L. 6. Mariatti M. 2. Nalerio A. 4. Real F. 3. Spitale D. 5. Vasconcelo M.	1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 9. Aguirre D. E. 7. Da Rosa J. E. 2. Figueredo L. 10. Hernandez R. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Ojeda G. 4. Vallejo L. 3. Velasco A.
Substitutes
18. Casal A. 19. De La Riva R. 20. Donato M. 15. Gonzalez A. E. 16. Gonzalez B. 17. Prokop A. 12. Ramos D. (G) 13. Ruiz F. 14. Sansone S.	14. Barrientos L. 16. Benitez F. 17. Cabrera D. 20. Cuenca C. 19. Diaz A. 15. Ibarra L. 18. Paez A. M. 12. Ratti V. (G) 13. Sineiro C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Real F. 🟨,
28', Velasco A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Diosquez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Velasco A. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
67', Hernandez R. ↓, Paez A. M. ↑,
68', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Gimenez B. ⚽,
73', Diosquez N. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
73', Brestt F. ↓, Casal A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flandria won 0.

Flandria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Merlo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Flandria won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Flandria won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44
20	Flandria	38	10	9	19	34:48	-14	39

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Flandria - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.13%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Deportivo Flandria	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Flandria - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Flandria	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Deportivo Flandria - Villa San Carlos	1:4 ✺
10.04.26	Liniers - Deportivo Flandria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TTWLW
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
26.07.25	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
08.03.25	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	0:0
03.08.24	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	3:0
17.03.24	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	0:2
21.08.21	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	0:0
11.04.21	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	2:3
26.08.15	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	0:0

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