Match Info

Primera B - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Deportivo Merlo		Argentino de Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.32	2.78	3.1	Watch
	2.37	2.84	3.29
	2.38	2.73	3.26	Watch
	2.4	2.63	3.1
	2.49	2.88	3.14
	2.33	2.85	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	2.78 ↓ (2.85)	3.12 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
38.3%

Draw
32.6%

Argentino de Quilmes
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

31.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Argentino de Quilmes (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentino de Quilmes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 4. Barrientos L. 7. Da Rosa J. E. 2. Figueredo L. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Ojeda G. 10. Sandoval I. 8. Vallejo L. 3. Velasco A.	1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 6. Barreto R. 3. Benavidez N. 10. Ceccotti M. 5. Escudero L. 11. Filliol F. 8. Filosa L. 4. Lando F. 7. Molina J. 9. Oyarzun D. 2. Poza A.
Substitutes
15. Benitez F. 16. Cabrera D. 20. Cuenca C. 19. Diaz A. 17. Hernandez R. 14. Ibarra L. 18. Paez A. M. 12. Ratti V. (G) 13. Sineiro C.	16. Castano S. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 19. Compagnucci M. 13. Cosciuc F. 14. Gomez M. 18. Guzman L. 15. Martin A. 17. Quattrocchi J. 20. Sosa F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Barrientos L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Molina J. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
46', Benavidez N. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
53', Da Rosa J. E. 🟨,
59', Gomez M. 🟨,
60', Barrientos L. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
60', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
61', Sandoval I. 🟨,
75', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
77', Ojeda G. 🟨,
77', Oyarzun D. ↓, Compagnucci M. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Hernandez R. ⚽,
86', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1.

Deportivo Merlo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Argentino de Quilmes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Merlo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44
16	Argentino de Quilmes	38	9	16	13	30:37	-7	43

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
25.04.26	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Camioneros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTWT
- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
25.04.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Camioneros	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Quilmes	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Argentino de Quilmes - San Martín de Burzaco	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Villa San Carlos - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Liniers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.08.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Merlo	3:0
22.03.25	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0
24.06.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Merlo	0:0
04.02.24	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1
30.07.23	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2
01.04.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Merlo	0:0
18.06.22	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2

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