Match Info

Primera B - Round 16

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Deportivo Merlo		Deportivo Armenio

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.55	3.25
	2.38	2.58	3.35	Watch
	2.44	2.58	3.4
	2.49	2.46	3.51	Watch
	2.4	2.45	3.4
	2.44	2.47	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2)	2.52 ↓ (2.83)	3.4 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
37.4%

Draw
36%

Deportivo Armenio
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

32.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

30.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Merlo's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 9. Aguirre D. E. 7. Da Rosa J. E. 2. Figueredo L. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Ojeda G. 10. Sandoval I. 4. Vallejo L. 3. Velasco A.	1. Dominguez J. (G) 10. Barrionuevo D. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 11. Herrera Jonathan N. 3. Mosca N. 2. Ortiz B. 7. Suanez T. 5. Tello F. 8. Vega F. 4. Villalva L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sandoval I. ⚽,
19', 🟨,
22', 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Maguicha D. ⚽,
30', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 3 - 0, Figueredo L. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
58', 3 - 1, Marchesini F. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
72', 3 - 2, Figueroa G. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 0.

In recent matches, Deportivo Merlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Armenio is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Merlo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	17	9	12	42:38	4	60
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
09.05.26	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWT
- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
09.05.26	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Camioneros	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Armenio	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Armenio - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Armenio	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Deportivo Armenio - Liniers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
28.06.25	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	0:1
08.02.25	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Merlo	3:0
29.06.24	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	2:2
10.02.24	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Merlo	2:0
15.07.23	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	0:3
19.03.23	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Merlo	2:2
13.08.22	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	0:0

Upcoming Matches