Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Deportivo Laferrere		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.90	3.40	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.02	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	3.4 (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Laferrere
43.6%

Draw
30%

Deportivo Merlo
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Deportivo Laferrere is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Laferrere has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:16 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Laferrere against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Laferrere	38	13	12	13	46:50	-4	51
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 25.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Laferrere
Argentinian Primera B
03.10.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Deportivo Laferrere	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Sportivo Italiano	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Liniers - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLTT
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
05.10.26	Deportivo Merlo - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Deportivo Merlo - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.06.26	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1
12.07.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Merlo	2:2
23.02.25	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	1:1
06.10.24	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0
19.05.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Merlo	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
13.01.21	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	1:1
15.10.19	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1

Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Merlo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide