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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Laferrere 55.8%
Draw 26.7%
Deportivo Merlo 17.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.7%
30.4%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
29%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Laferrere's performance.
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Merlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Laferrere that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Merlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Merlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Libares T. (G) 11. Benitez A. 2. Cavoret I. 3. Mamani L. 6. Manzi N. 9. Moran J. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 5. Trejo E. 7. Vega D. 8. Vivas N.
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 3. Alfieri L. 5. Benitez F. 2. Figueredo L. 7. Gugenheim C. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 10. Quinteros E. 9. Sandoval I. 4. Vallejo L.
Substitutes
17. Bramajo D. 14. Cantero M. 16. Denis J. 15. Digangi M. 12. Morro M. (G) 13. Nebot L. 20. Rebecchi L. 19. Romero F. 18. Visco A.
16. Casasola N. 17. Diaz A. 19. Hernandez R. 20. Linas M. 15. Miguez L. 18. Paez A. M. 13. Sineiro C. 12. Turnes I. (G) 14. Valdez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Vega D. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
67', Mamani L. ↓, Denis J. ↑,
67', Benitez A. ↓, Bramajo D. ↑,
70', Denis J. 🟨,
71', Gugenheim C. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Hernandez R. ⚽,
80', (Penalty Awarded),
84', Manzi N. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
84', Benitez F. ↓, Sineiro C. ↑,
89', Quinteros E. ↓, Valdez F. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Moran J. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Deportivo Laferrere carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Laferrere has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:16 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Laferrere against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Laferrere
41
15
13
13
50:52
-2
58
14
Dep. Merlo
41
11
15
15
39:54
-15
48
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Merlo - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 25.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Libares T. (G) 
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