Match Info

Primera B - Round 5

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Deportivo Merlo		Liniers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	2.82	3.45	Watch
	2.11	2.75	3.78
	2.21	2.58	3.94	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.6
	2.06	2.89	3.73	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
42.9%

Draw
32.3%

Liniers
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Deportivo Merlo - Liniers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 9. Aguerre F. 4. Barrientos L. 8. Benitez F. 2. Figueredo L. 7. Hernandez R. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Ojeda G. 10. Sandoval I. 3. Velasco A.	1. De Feliche C. (G) 8. Camejo F. 4. Di Motta R. 11. Fernandez G. 2. Formichelli S. 10. Gridel M. 7. Linas M. 3. Mackay G. 6. Pereyra E. 9. Rodriguez C. 5. Roth J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Barrientos L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Gridel M. ↓, Auzqui D. ↑,
65', Hernandez R. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
65', Maguicha D. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
67', Velasco A. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez C. ↓, Sallaberry I. ↑,
76', Gallegos E. ↓, Penoni A. ↑,
80', Benitez F. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
85', Barrientos L. ↓, Ibarra L. ↑,
88', Palacio S. ↓, Mackay G. ↑,
88', Linas M. ↓, Coria T. ↑,

Preview

Federation decision.

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Deportivo Merlo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Liniers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Merlo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44
17	Liniers	38	10	13	15	31:39	-8	43

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 43.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Liniers - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.5%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
22.05.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Merlo	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWT
- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
22.05.26	Excursionistas - Liniers	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Liniers - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Argentino de Merlo - Liniers	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Liniers - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Liniers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
08.07.25	Deportivo Merlo - Liniers	0:1
18.02.25	Liniers - Deportivo Merlo	0:2
10.07.24	Deportivo Merlo - Liniers	0:1
21.02.24	Liniers - Deportivo Merlo	0:0

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