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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Rafaela 40.6%
Draw 33.1%
Nueva Chicago 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
32.6%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
32.1%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Atlético de Rafaela - Nueva Chicago Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Solveyra A. 6. Yegros U. 3. Wuattier E. 8. Cainelli N. 5. Capurro J. 11. Pardo M. 7. Moreno M. 9. Albertengo L. 10. Obando A.
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Antunes I. 2. Zalazar R. E. 6. Gissi D. 3. Paz G. 10. Rogoski M. 5. Gonzalez A. 8. Roldan E. 11. Perez M. 7. Ocampo T. 9. Castro F.
Substitutes
16. Gonzalez A. 17. Jourdan F. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Moscoloni L. 15. Pepino E. 18. Protti I. 20. Quiroga M. 14. Ramos N. 19. Rodriguez A.
17. Ambrogio L. 19. Barros D. 13. Carrizo E. 18. Cocimano S. 16. Ferracutti G. 12. Masuero F. (G) 20. Petrecca N. 15. Rodriguez T. 14. Velozo G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cainelli N. 🟥,
62', Pardo M. 🟨,
65', Moreno M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
65', Pardo M. ↓, Jourdan F. ↑,
67', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Solveyra A. ⚽,
72', Albertengo L. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
74', Zalazar R. E. ↓, Barros D. ↑,
74', Roldan E. ↓, Ambrogio L. ↑,
77', Obando A. 🟨,
79', Rogoski M. ↓, Cocimano S. ↑,
87', Obando A. ↓, Pepino E. ↑,
87', Capurro J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
90', Ambrogio L. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 0.
Atlético Rafaela has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nueva Chicago has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Atlético Rafaela has had a series of away games.
Atlético Rafaela might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).