Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)


	San Telmo		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.85	2.85	Watch
	2.50	2.90	2.80
	2.75	2.90	2.70	Watch
	2.78	2.87	2.97
	2.81	2.63	3.05	Watch
	2.70	2.70	2.88
	2.61	2.74	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.72)	2.8 ↑ (2.77)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
34.6%

Draw
33.1%

Deportivo Madryn
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

33.7%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

34%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 4. Motroni J. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Britez L. 3. Gamarra R. 8. Uriburu R. 5. Britez E. 10. Iritier J. 11. Ledesma M. I. 7. Zurbriggen J. 9. Batallini M.	1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Martinez D. 7. Calleros Y. 5. Recalde F. 8. Meli M. 10. Solis N. 9. Silba L. 11. Barrientos N.
Substitutes
14. Buteler L. 13. Gonzalez M. 15. Laba M. 19. Larthirigoyen I. 16. Paredes G. 17. Porto J. 12. Ratalin G. (G) 18. Salerno M. 20. Tisera F.	13. Ayala R. 20. Bonacci P. 15. Cosi J. 17. Cuero M. 14. Gutierrez A. 16. Jara E. 18. Machado C. 12. Montero M. (G) 19. Servetto N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Pollacchi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Meli M. 🟨,
65', Zurbriggen J. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
67', Meli M. ↓, Cosi J. ↑,
67', Barrientos N. ↓, Servetto N. ↑,
73', Batallini M. 🟨,
77', Batallini M. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
77', Iritier J. ↓, Salerno M. ↑,
77', Ledesma M. I. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
80', Servetto N. 🟨,
82', Uriburu R. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
87', Silba L. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
87', Solis N. ↓, Jara E. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent form of San Telmo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo Madryn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Madryn - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.9%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	San Telmo - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTTT
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.26	Deportivo Madryn - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Madryn	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Madryn - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.09.24	Deportivo Madryn - San Telmo	1:0
28.04.24	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	2:1
06.05.22	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	2:1
Argentinian Primera B
04.02.21	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 penalties

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