The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mitre 51.4%
Draw 29.6%
San Telmo 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
28.2%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
27.5%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Mitre - San Telmo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Mitre (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mitre (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Mieres B. 2. Cabral Y. 6. Abello D. 3. Ferrari F. 5. Alessandroni J. 7. Avaro E. 8. Garrido O. 10. Rosales S. 9. Machado M. 11. Gonzalez R.
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 4. Diaz E. 2. Pollacchi L. (C) 6. Romero P. 3. Roncaglia F. 7. Uriburu R. 5. Britez E. 8. Motroni J. 11. Nunez C. 9. Molina N. 10. Batallini M.
Substitutes
20. Cabral F. 15. Correa L. 19. Gorla F. J. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Lopez A. 16. Maldonado M. 13. Minissale P. 14. Romero M. 18. Vazquez M.
18. Baez F. 13. Dinocco R. 19. Gamarra R. 14. Gonzalez M. 15. Iritier J. 17. Larthirigoyen I. 20. Paredes G. 16. Porto J. 12. Rial J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Nunez C. 🟨,
24', Britez E. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Batallini M. ⚽,
37', Abello D. 🟨,
42', Batallini M. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pollacchi L. ↓, Dinocco R. ↑,
46', Nunez C. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
46', Avaro E. ↓, Gorla F. J. ↑,
55', Abello D. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
55', Gonzalez R. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
63', Britez E. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
74', Ferrari F. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
74', Garrido O. ↓, Cabral F. ↑,
80', Paredes G. 🟨,
81', Molina N. ↓, Gamarra R. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Mitre (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by San Telmo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
San Telmo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Mitre for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mitre has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 1:0.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mitre against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 2:0.3 per game).