Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Palomino M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz
Vietnam	TV 360


	Sporting Cristal		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.00	9.00	Watch
	1.32	4.80	7.00
	1.34	5.20	8.50	Watch
	1.30	5.36	11.27
	1.42	4.57	6.88	Watch
	1.26	5.25	11.00
	1.33	5.05	8.66	Watch
	1.30	4.90	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)	5.02 ↑ (4.34)	8.76 ↑ (7.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
70.7%

Draw
18.6%

Atlético Grau
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

21.4%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.5%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 6. Alvarez Wallace A. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 16. Iberico L. 23. Castro M. 22. Hoyos M.	1. Alvarez P. (C) 4. Rodriguez D. 27. Tapia R. 3. Tapia I. 25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 5. Guarderas R. 13. Oncoy F. 7. Barreto D. 15. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 20. Vasquez A. 99. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
96. Abram L. 11. Avila I. 33. Bautista C. (G) 21. Cabellos C. 77. Cuesta J. 32. Diaz L. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 25. Tavara M.	16. Ataupillco J. 96. Benites Vargas L. E. 33. Calderon A. (G) 21. Correa E. 77. Da Luz M. 6. Rodas E. 9. Ruidiaz R. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 8. Vasquez C.
Coaches
Mosquera R.	Ameli G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Lutiger R. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Iberico L. ⚽, Gonzalez S. (A),
39', Guarderas R. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽, Guarderas R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barreto D. ↓, Da Luz M. ↑,
50', Cristiano 🟨,
50', Oncoy F. 🟨,
50', 3 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
54', Alfaro Martinez G. E. 🟨,
66', Fernandez A. 🟨,
69', Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
69', Fernandez A. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
69', Vasquez A. ↓, Ruidiaz R. ↑,
77', Iberico L. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
77', Cristiano ↓, Abram L. ↑,
78', Oncoy F. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
83', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
84', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cuesta J. ↑,
87', Hoyos M. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
90+1', Abram L. 🟨,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The betting markets point to Sporting Cristal as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Knee Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sporting Cristal: Wisdom I. (Elbow Injury).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:18 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting Cristal against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19
10	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
13.09.26	Moquegua - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sport Boys - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
26.08.26	Sporting Cristal - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
13.09.26	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau	4:2 ✺
01.09.26	Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
26.08.26	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	2:3 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.26	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
22.04.26	Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal	4:1
19.11.25	Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal	1:2
13.07.25	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	2:1
11.08.24	Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal	1:1
02.03.24	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	1:0
17.08.23	Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal	2:3
19.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	2:1

Upcoming Matches