Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Garcilaso		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.35	Watch
	3.3	3.2	1.98
	2.88	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.96	3.3	2.4
	2.91	3.35	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	2.96	3.14	2.4	Watch
	3	3.14	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.93)	3.24 ↑ (3.17)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Garcilaso
31.3%

Draw
28.7%

Sporting Cristal
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.9%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deportivo Garcilaso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Deportivo Garcilaso (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 2 - 50%). Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (G) 55. Canales E. 19. Gomez A. 13. Benincasa H. 16. Nunez O. 14. Torrejon C. 7. Sinisterra J. 27. Ascues A. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 11. Arancibia F. 29. Graneros A.	1. Enriquez D. (G) 18. Gonzalez J. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 19. Yotun Y. 26. Wisdom I. 27. Gabriel 25. Tavara M. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 9. Vizeu F.
Substitutes
31. Barbieri J. (G) 30. Da Silva B. 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 23. Moreno X. 24. Olivares C. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 2. Salazar A. 33. Villacorta S.	11. Avila I. 33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 21. Cabellos C. 23. Castro M. 55. Cazonatti G. 16. Iberico L. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 8. Sosa L.
Coaches
Lisi H.	Autuori P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Vizeu F. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Ascues A. ⚽, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. (A),
60', Lutiger R. 🟨,
60', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
69', Wisdom I. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
69', Vizeu F. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
69', Yotun Y. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
70', Tavara M. ↓, Cazonatti G. ↑,
70', Ascues A. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
70', Arancibia F. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
71', Garrafa Tapia I. A. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Castro M. (A),
86', Gonzalez S. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
89', Sinisterra J. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
89', Graneros A. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
90+5', Cabellos C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0.

Sporting Cristal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sporting Cristal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	7	1	3	18:7	11	22
4	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
07.11.25	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ayacucho - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
13.10.25	Juan Pablo II College - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 TWLLW
- Sporting Cristal
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Sporting Cristal - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
14.12.25	Cusco - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	3:4 penalties ✺
02.12.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.10.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	0:1
15.06.25	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:2
17.09.24	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0
15.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	2:3
13.08.23	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:0
12.03.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	4:4

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