Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	9.5	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7.5
	1.4	4.5	8.75
	1.35	4.4	7.6
	1.42	4.47	8.15
	1.35	4.2	8
	1.38	4.65	8.5	Watch
	1.36	4.4	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)	4.46 ↑ (3.7)	8.23 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
67.8%

Draw
20.9%

Sporting Cristal
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.6%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Huracán Buenos Aires's performance.

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huracán Buenos Aires that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huracán: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Huracán is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Huracán is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Huracán won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Huracán won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.03.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.03.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.02.23	Colón - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.02.23	Boston River - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.02.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTTW
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
04.03.23	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.02.23	Sporting Cristal - Nacional Asuncion	5:1 ✺
21.02.23	Nacional Asuncion - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
17.02.23	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.04.16	Huracán Buenos Aires - Sporting Cristal	4:2
08.03.16	Sporting Cristal - Huracán Buenos Aires	3:2

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