Match Info

Date: 18 January 2021, Monday


	Deportivo Paraguayo		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.35	2.6	3.35
	2.43	2.75	3
	2.62	2.86	3.2
	2.4	2.75	3
	2.38	3	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.31)	2.78 ↓ (2.89)	3.09 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Paraguayo
37.5%

Draw
32.9%

Lugano
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

22.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Paraguayo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Deportivo Paraguayo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lugano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo Paraguayo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportivo Paraguayo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Paraguayo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera D
12.01.21	Atlas - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:1 ✺
05.01.21	Deportivo Paraguayo - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
28.12.20	Liniers - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
21.12.20	Deportivo Paraguayo - Sportivo Barracas	1:3 ✺
14.12.20	Defensores de Cambaceres - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTLT
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
17.01.21	Sion - Lugano	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.21	Lugano - Chiasso	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera D
03.01.21	Lugano - Atlas	0:0 ✺
27.12.20	Atlético Claypole - Lugano	2:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
23.12.20	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
04.12.20	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	1:0
15.11.19	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	2:2
07.04.19	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	2:0
04.11.18	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:1
08.03.18	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:1
04.10.17	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	3:1
30.03.17	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	3:3

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