Match Info

Liga Women - Round 10

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)


	Deportivo Pasto		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.87	2.35
	2.8	3.05	2.42
	2.88	3.11	2.52
	2.88	3.15	2.36	Watch
	2.91	3.08	2.32
	2.8	3.05	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.59)	3.05 ↑ (2.98)	2.4 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
32%

Draw
29.9%

Orsomarso
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Deportivo Pasto - Orsomarso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Idarraga V. (G) 22. Angulo D. 23. Angulo E. 13. Araujo T. 4. Balcazar K. 6. Herrera M. 21. Martinez D. 17. Prado E. 9. Preciado M. 3. Riascos M. 7. Ruiz J.	12. Murillo G. (G) 25. Aguilar M. 13. Carabali M. 2. Carvajal M. 23. Goyes V. 5. Gutierrez M. 21. Ibarguen L. 8. Moreno M. 4. Ruiz N. 16. Sanchez S. 7. Urrutia K.
Substitutes
10. Cano A. 11. Contreras K. 12. Mendez P. (G) 8. Moreno J. 27. Olarte A. 25. Pulgarin L. 20. Urango M.	19. Aguirre M. 14. Mera A. 1. Montano L. (G) 11. Palacios V. 15. Ramirez M. 17. Renteria K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Ruiz J. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Preciado M. ⚽, Prado E. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Carvajal M. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Sanchez S. ⚽, Moreno M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carabali M. ↓, Palacios V. ↑,
51', Palacios V. 🟨,
57', Ruiz J. ↓, Contreras K. ↑,
57', Araujo T. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Sanchez S. ⚽, Palacios V. (A),
68', Riascos M. ↓, Pulgarin L. ↑,
73', Ruiz N. 🟨,
74', 2 - 3, Prado E. ⚽,
83', Gutierrez M. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
86', Angulo E. 🟨,
87', Urrutia K. ↓, Renteria K. ↑,
90+4', Sanchez S. 🟨,
90+4', Herrera M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

Recent performances by Deportivo Pasto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Orsomarso has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Orsomarso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto Women
Colombian Liga Women
14.04.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
10.04.25	La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Real Santander - Deportivo Pasto	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TLWWL
- Orsomarso SC Women
Colombian Liga Women
28.04.25	Inter Palmira - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Orsomarso - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
14.04.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Orsomarso - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLTL

Deportivo Pasto - Orsomarso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide