Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas (Pereira)

Referee: Abatti Abel R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Deportivo Pereira		Monagas

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.5
	1.65	3.8	5.4
	1.68	3.76	5.62
	1.63	3.3	5.5
	1.67	3.62	5.55	Watch
	1.66	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)	3.61 ↓ (3.65)	5.4 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
56.6%

Draw
26%

Monagas
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.6%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

25%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Deportivo Pereira - Monagas Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Monagas will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pereira: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Pereira is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Monagas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pereira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pereira is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
30.04.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
27.04.23	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	0:0 ✺
24.04.23	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.04.23	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Pereira	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
15.04.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLT
- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.04.23	Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Colo-Colo - Monagas	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.04.23	Zamora - Monagas	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Monagas - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.23	Monagas - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTLT

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