Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Monagas		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.57	Watch
	6	3.75	1.57
	6.4	3.75	1.58
	6.92	3.89	1.57
	6.5	3.5	1.52
	6.4	3.9	1.55	Watch
	6.2	3.75	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.42 ↓ (6.99)	3.76 ↓ (3.9)	1.56 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
14.6%

Draw
25%

Boca Juniors
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

23.7%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

22.7%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Boca Juniors aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Monagas - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Monagas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
31.03.23	Carabobo - Monagas	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Universidad Central - Monagas	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Monagas - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Monagas - Angostura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWWW
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.03.23	Boca Juniors - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.03.23	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:3 ✺
12.03.23	Banfield - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
06.03.23	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLT

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