The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Monagas 39.2%
Draw 30%
Estudiantes de Mérida 30.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.5%
27.2%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
26.1%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monagas's form might have worsened.
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monagas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes de Mérida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Riveros T. (G) 30. De La Hoz K. 4. Maitan M. 29. Henry N. 17. Paz J. 14. Jaramillo F. 6. Romero A. 7. Basante F. 10. Gonzalez L. (C) 16. Carrion E. 20. Diaz H.
12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 44. Caicedo L. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 16. Lobo J. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 15. Rivas C. (C) 14. Ivey R. 99. Matheus D. 17. Magallan C.
Substitutes
38. Asibe S. 27. Farias E. 31. Fuentes D. 33. Lima E. (G) 35. Natera S. 3. Queiroz F. 8. Ramirez C. 2. Rincones R. 21. Rodas A. 77. Rodriguez L. 19. Romero A. 11. Uruena B.
36. Chacon R. 9. Hernandez J. 23. Lacruz Y. 13. Maldonado M. 33. Mejias Diego 11. Montero A. 31. Montes G. 10. Pena A. 1. Rojas T. (G)
Coaches
Ortiz J.
Gomez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Basante F. ⚽, Diaz H. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Basante F. ⚽, Carrion E. (A),
39', Magallan C. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
41', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
45+2', Carrion E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', De La Hoz K. 🟨,
57', Carrion E. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
57', Romero A. ↓, Asibe S. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Lobo J. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
69', Acosta H. 🟨,
69', Basante F. 🟨,
70', Diaz H. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
73', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
76', Lobo J. ↓, Montero A. ↑,
76', Rodriguez C. ↓, Chacon R. ↑,
80', Basante F. ↓, Rodas A. ↑,
89', Matheus D. ↓, Lacruz Y. ↑,
89', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
90+1', Caicedo L. 🟨,
90+2', Romero A. 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 7th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 1.
Monagas is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Estudiantes Mérida has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Monagas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Monagas holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Monagas has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:28 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Monagas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:13 goals (averaging 1.9:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Monagas - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
Watch
#ad
Riveros T. (G) 
Henry N. 
Jaramillo F. 
Roberts E. (G) 
Caicedo L. 
Queiroz F. 
Rodas A. 
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
