Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 1

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín) 🌤️ ...


	Monagas		Academia Puerto Cabello

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.25	2.10
	2.95	3.25	2.2
	3.09	3.36	2.16
	2.95	3.25	2.11
	3.01	3.16	2.17	Watch
	3	3.35	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.78)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.16 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
30.4%

Draw
27.7%

Academia Puerto Cabello
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Riveros T. (G) 30. De La Hoz K. 4. Maitan M. 29. Henry N. 17. Paz J. 20. Diaz H. 5. Colorado J. 6. Romero A. 70. Arace R. 7. Basante F. 10. Gonzalez L. (C)	55. Romero L. (G) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. 14. Bortagaray G. 16. Rosales R. 77. Isah M. 15. Saggiomo D. 24. Contreras H. (C) 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 28. Osorio D. 19. Castillo J.
Substitutes
38. Asibe S. 16. Carrion E. 27. Farias E. 31. Fuentes D. 14. Jaramillo F. 33. Lima E. (G) 35. Natera S. 3. Queiroz F. 2. Rincones R. 21. Rodas A. 19. Romero A. 11. Uruena B.	32. Camacho J. 30. Casiani L. 41. Cova L. 1. Graterol J. (G) 6. Lima P. 27. Linares H. 20. Marchan J. 17. Martinez J. 36. Mendoza J. 8. Moreno J. 11. Pernia E. 9. Ponce A.
Coaches
Ortiz J.	Sarago E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Ortiz J. 🟨,
20', Basante F. 🟨,
33', Isah M. 🟨,
36', Maitan M. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Osorio D. ⚽, Flores Barrios R. D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Isah M. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
58', Arace R. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Contreras H. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Riveros T. 🟨,
73', Osorio D. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
73', Saggiomo D. ↓, Casiani L. ↑,
73', Diaz H. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
81', Castillo J. ↓, Marchan J. ↑,
81', Romero A. ↓, Carrion E. ↑,
81', Basante F. ↓, Asibe S. ↑,
82', Carrion E. 🟨,
84', Rosales R. 🟨,
88', Flores Barrios R. D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 0.

Monagas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Puerto Cabello shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Puerto Cabello could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Monagas has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:31 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monagas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 1.5:1.2 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Monagas - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.61%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Academia Puerto Cabello - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.02%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Copa Venezuela
21.10.26	Deportivo Táchira - Monagas	2:1 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.10.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	3:3 ✺
Copa Venezuela
14.10.26	Monagas - Dynamo Puerto	2:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
11.10.26	Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
07.10.26	Mineros de Guayana - Monagas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWL
- Academia Puerto Cabello
Copa Venezuela
21.10.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Rayo Zuliano	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.10.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	3:3 ✺
11.10.26	Trujillanos - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Deportivo Táchira - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
18.10.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	3:3
25.04.26	Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	1:0 penalties
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.11.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	3:2
21.10.25	Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2
Copa Venezuela
06.08.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	2:3
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.08.25	Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1

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