The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monagas 17.1%
Draw 24.9%
Academia Puerto Cabello 58.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
27.1%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
26.8%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monagas's form might have worsened.
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Academia Puerto Cabello's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monagas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Monagas (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monagas (votes: 1 - 50%). Puerto Cabello (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Riveros T. (G) 22. Perlaza E. 4. Maitan M. 19. Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. 21. Peralta R. 20. Diaz H. 18. Caraballo J. (C) 49. Mancilla J. 8. Ramirez C. 9. Rodriguez R. 55. Renteria M.
1. Graterol J. (G) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. (C) 14. Bortagaray G. 16. Rosales R. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 5. Gonzalez G. 8. Moreno J. 19. Castillo J. 9. Ponce A. 15. Saggiomo D.
Substitutes
38. Asibe S. 47. Carrasco J. 16. Carrion E. 26. Castillo D. 27. Farias E. 31. Fuentes D. 24. Herrera S. 33. Lima E. (G) 35. Natera S. 2. Rincones R. 77. Rodriguez L. 52. Vallenilla W.
4. Baptista F. 7. Barros J. 30. Casiani L. 24. Contreras H. 31. Hernandez J. 12. Herrera E. (G) 6. Lima P. 27. Linares H. 17. Martinez J. 44. Melendez G. 63. Obradovic S. 21. Padron G. 11. Pernia E. 55. Romero L. (G)
Coaches
Zambrano O.
Sarago E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Saggiomo D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
14', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Renteria M. ⚽, Caraballo J. (A),
61', Vargas J. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
71', Moreno J. ↓, Padron G. ↑,
71', Bortagaray G. ↓, Linares H. ↑,
71', Ponce A. ↓, Barros J. ↑,
75', Diaz H. 🟨,
78', Perlaza E. 🟨,
79', Diaz H. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Barros J. ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
87', Perlaza E. ↓, Vallenilla W. ↑,
87', Mancilla J. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
90+1', Rodriguez R. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
90+1', Renteria M. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 1.
Monagas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Puerto Cabello has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Monagas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Puerto Cabello could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
Watch
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Riveros T. (G) 
Perlaza E. 
Peralta R. 
Renteria M. 
Bortagaray G. 
Barros J. 
Obradovic S. 
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