Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Santiago de las Atalayas (Yopal)


	Deportivo Pereira		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.15	4.35	Watch
	1.87	3.25	4.65
	2.32	2.53	4.11	Watch
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.85	3	4.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.74)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)	4.42 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
48.2%

Draw
30.8%

Real Cundinamarca
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

29%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

30%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Deportivo Pereira - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Acosta S. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pereira is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Cundinamarca - the odds 4.8 are the expected chance of winning is 18.89%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Copa
07.05.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TLWLT
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Copa
13.05.26	Real Cundinamarca - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Real Cundinamarca	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
02.09.25	Real Cundinamarca - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 penalties
26.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - Real Cundinamarca	4:3
20.03.24	Real Cundinamarca - Deportivo Pereira	0:0
07.03.24	Deportivo Pereira - Real Cundinamarca	2:0

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