Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda (Yumbo (COL))

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Independiente Valle del Cauca		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.48	3.93	6.87
	1.46	4.15	7.05	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.41	3.85	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (2.06)	3.87 ↑ (3.22)	6.9 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Valle del Cauca
63.1%

Draw
23.7%

Real Cundinamarca
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

28.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Valle del Cauca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Valle del Cauca's performance.

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Cundinamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Valle del Cauca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Cundinamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind Valle del Cauca will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mendez J. (G) 27. Ampudia J. 8. Diaz T. 11. Farias L. 30. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 6. Mejia A. 31. Murillo J. 14. Ordonez J. 15. Perdomo J. 4. Rodriguez J. 16. Villa D.	33. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. 27. Amaya J. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 13. Hinestroza J. 6. Hoyos J. 3. Moreno S. 28. Rios C. 2. Suaza J. (C) 23. Vidal K.
Substitutes
34. De Arco H. 5. Diaz J. 25. Gonzalez S. 17. Mena H. 12. Mena L. (G) 2. Palomeque Y. 32. Rubiano J. 19. Sequeda Arroyo M. 18. Vivas O.	22. de Zubiria P. 40. Giraldo J. (G) 8. Gomez C. 24. Mendoza J. 36. Ortegon M. 7. Salcedo J. 11. Valencia Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Farias L. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vidal K. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Hinestroza J. ⚽,
51', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
69', Cuellar K. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Real Cundinamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Independiente Yumbo is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
2	Ind. Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15:6	9	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
07.04.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
30.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Patriotas	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLL
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
11.04.26	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
16.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTT

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