Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Deportivo Riestra		River Plate

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.7	Watch
	6	3.6	1.6
	5.1	3.45	1.72	Watch
	7.2	3.69	1.61
	5.78	3.5	1.69	Watch
	5.87	3.58	1.72	Watch
	5.1	3.45	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.79 ↑ (4.33)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
16.4%

Draw
26.9%

River Plate
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26.6%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.1%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Riestra's form might have worsened.

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	3.2%	93.5%

Deportivo Riestra - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 24. Mino F. 22. Paz C. 13. Gallo R. 5. Ramirez P. 8. Celiz M. 27. Goitia J. 7. Alonso A. 32. Benegas N. 9. Herrera J.	1. Armani F. (C) 4. Montiel G. 6. Pezzella G. 17. Diaz P. 21. Acuna M. 29. Aliendro R. 24. Perez E. 8. Meza M. 30. Mastantuono F. 9. Miguel Borja 11. Colidio F.
Substitutes
36. Bracamonte M. 10. Bravo G. 3. Caro Nicolas 20. Diaz A. 11. Fernandez G. 18. Guille B. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 14. Monje P. 23. Ramirez M. 37. Sanabria M. 35. Sanchez B. 28. Sayavedra R.	16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. . Castano K. 26. Fernandez N. 2. Gattoni F. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 5. Kranevitter M. 10. Lanzini M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 18. Martinez P. 38. Subiabre I. 19. Tapia G.
Coaches
Benitez G.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Mino F. 🟨,
21', Ramirez P. 🟨,
24', Colidio F. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
31', Gallo R. 🟨,
41', Aliendro R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montiel G. ↓, Bustos F. ↑,
46', Alonso A. ↓, Monje P. ↑,
65', Goitia J. 🟨,
69', Benegas N. 🟨,
73', Aliendro R. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
73', Miguel Borja ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
78', Gallo R. ↓, Bracamonte M. ↑,
78', Herrera J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
88', Benegas N. ↓, Guille B. ↑,
88', Meza M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently River Plate have a series of home games.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Randazzo J. (Inactive) Tovo E. (Inactive)

There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S. (Injury) Driussi S. (Injury) Giuliano Galoppo (Injury) Rojas M. (Injury) Simon S. (Red Card)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.03.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Telmo	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.02.25	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Deportivo Riestra - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
17.02.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTTL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.03.25	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Argentinian International Super Cup
05.03.25	River Plate - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.25	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - River Plate	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	River Plate - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.06.24	Deportivo Riestra - River Plate	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.02.24	Deportivo Riestra - River Plate	0:3

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