Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Novelli L. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4.75
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.9	3.25	4
	1.78	3.57	4.89
	1.73	3.25	4.6
	1.8	3.52	4.6	Watch
	1.78	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.11)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	4.53 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
52.2%

Draw
27.3%

Tristán Suárez
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Riestra's performance.

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristán Suárez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Riestra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristán Suárez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Deportivo Riestra - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 3.

Deportivo Riestra is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tristán Suárez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tristán Suárez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo Riestra will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.04.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	4:2 ✺
17.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Mitre	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Rivadavia	3:3 ✺
26.03.23	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTT
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	Tristán Suárez - Racing de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
17.04.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Aldosivi - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Tristán Suárez - Chacarita Juniors	1:3 ✺
26.03.23	Mitre - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.08.22	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
Argentinian Primera B
07.02.19	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	3:4
28.08.18	Deportivo Riestra - Tristán Suárez	2:2
15.05.17	Deportivo Riestra - Tristán Suárez	3:2
31.10.16	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	0:2
22.04.16	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	2:0
18.07.15	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	1:1

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