Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 33

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)


	Tristán Suárez		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.1	5.25	Watch
	2.02	2.92	3.9
	1.87	3.16	4.93
	1.93	3.04	4.48	Watch
	2.06	2.93	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.14)	3.03 ↑ (2.86)	4.5 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
48.4%

Draw
30.8%

Racing de Córdoba
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

32.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

33.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Tristán Suárez - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sumavil N. (G) 4. Olguin M. 2. Felissia L. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Villegas L. 5. Del Priore N. 7. Steimbach A. 10. Almada A. 9. Dominguez A. 11. Da Rosa J. E.	1. Maslovski M. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Calderon E. 6. Ferrero G. 3. Fernandez L. 8. Castro T. 5. Rostagno G. 10. Machado M. 7. Monticelli F. 9. Villegas L. 11. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
19. Almiron E. 15. Berges F. 17. Gorosito I. 12. Monllor D. (G) 14. Perez T. 16. Ruiz P. 20. Sosa A. 13. Taron M. 18. Veliez A.	15. Avila L. 17. Gutierrez M. 20. James A. L. 19. Marfort S. 18. Monti L. 13. Olivera W. 16. Oviedo E. D. 12. Rougier J. (G) 14. Tossen F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Da Rosa J. E. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Machado M. ⚽,
45+2', Villegas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Gonzalez S. ↓, Monti L. ↑,
46', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Veliez A. ↑,
53', Olguin M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Felissia L. ⚽,
68', Machado M. 🟨,
68', Almada A. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Dominguez A. ⚽,
71', Monticelli F. ↓, Marfort S. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Steimbach A. ⚽,
75', Rostagno G. ↓, Oviedo E. D. ↑,
77', Dominguez A. ↓, Gorosito I. ↑,
77', Villegas L. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
85', Machado M. ↓, Avila L. ↑,
85', Fernandez N. ↓, Taron M. ↑,
85', Villegas L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Del Priore N. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Tristán Suárez is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tristán Suárez - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tristán Suárez - Colegiales	2:2 ✺
08.09.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Tristán Suárez - All Boys	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Alvarado - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWT
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.09.25	Racing de Córdoba - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Güemes - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Racing de Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Racing de Córdoba - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.25	Racing de Córdoba - Tristán Suárez	1:1
13.07.24	Tristán Suárez - Racing de Córdoba	1:0
25.02.24	Racing de Córdoba - Tristán Suárez	1:1
03.09.23	Racing de Córdoba - Tristán Suárez	1:1
23.04.23	Tristán Suárez - Racing de Córdoba	3:2

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