Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Deportivo Maipú		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.45	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.3
	3.1	3	2.35	Watch
	3.3	3	2.49
	3.3	2.94	2.49
	3	3.1	2.3
	3.13	3.14	2.36	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.11)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.39 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
29.7%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Riestra
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Riestra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Riestra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Moyano S. 2. Coronel F. 6. Gonzales 3. Ferracuti G. 8. Montero F. 5. Manzur A. 7. Gonzalez S. 10. Sambueza R. 9. Almiron E. 11. Herrera L.	1. Arce I. (G) 2. Goitia J. 3. Tovo E. 4. Iribarren N. 6. Dematei N. 18. Landriel L. 7. Antonini F. 8. Celiz M. 9. Romero L. 10. Acuna W. 11. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
13. Agorreca N. 14. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 18. Del Priore N. 19. Egel M. 21. Klusener G. 23. Larrondo M. 20. Ozuna E. 16. Paredes L. 17. Ramirez R. 12. Rehak G. (G) 22. Veliez A. 15. Viguet M.	12. Aguero F. (G) 13. Benitez G. 21. Bravo G. 20. Gonzalez Herrero R. 5. Goya J. 14. Mac Eachen E. 16. Magallanes D. 23. Murillo Yaison 19. Portillo S. 22. Torres F. 17. Villoldo T. 15. Zaninovic M.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Modolo M.

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Deportivo Maipú is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Riestra is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Maipú won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.11.23	Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
22.11.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Deportivo Maipú - Temperley	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Temperley - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWLW
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.11.23	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Riestra	0:2 ✺
20.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
07.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
27.10.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.07.23	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Maipú	1:0
26.03.23	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
09.07.22	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Riestra	2:2
07.11.21	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Riestra	3:1
12.07.21	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Maipú	0:1

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