Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 15

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros (Rincon de Los Sauces)


	Deportivo Rincón		Germinal

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.6
	1.48	3.56	6.69
				Watch
	1.46	3.55	7.5
	1.6	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	5.87 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Rincón
58.8%

Draw
25.7%

Germinal
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.4%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Rincón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Deportivo Rincón - Germinal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Criado J. (G) 8. Avila C. 9. Cervera G. 2. Chacon J. 3. Diaz E. 7. Jeldres S. 11. Lezcano A. 10. Miguel F. 6. Moreno F. 4. Paez A. 5. Portino G.	1. Velazquez F. (G) 2. Barro J. 5. Duarte K. 11. Galabert E. 6. Palavecino A. 7. Parra J. 8. Perez I. 4. Ponce A. 9. Rojas D. 10. Santilli E. 3. Teran I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Riquelme F. ⚽,
30', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 🟨,
76', 🟥,
80', 2 - 0, Avila C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Deportivo Rincón is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Rincón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Rincón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.25	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Deportivo Rincón - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Sol de Mayo - Deportivo Rincón	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Deportivo Rincón - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:2 ✺
18.05.25	Cipolletti - Deportivo Rincón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTTL
- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Círculo Deportivo - Germinal	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.04.25	Germinal - Deportivo Rincón	0:3
14.07.24	Germinal - Deportivo Rincón	0:0
15.05.24	Deportivo Rincón - Germinal	2:2

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