Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)


	Guillermo Brown		Germinal

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.00	4.60
	1.58	3.30	5.60	Watch
	1.77	2.96	4.77
	1.81	3.14	5.06	Watch
	1.75	2.90	4.70
	1.75	2.99	5.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.58)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	4.98 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
52.1%

Draw
29.7%

Germinal
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

27.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

26.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guillermo Brown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Guillermo Brown - Germinal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G) 2. Alvarez A. 9. Ayala E. 5. Chiavetto A. 4. Conde M. 6. Diaz R. 11. Kostelak A. 8. Mera B. 3. Moreno E. 7. Varela N. 10. Zapulla I.	1. Molini L. (G) 9. Carcamo F. 10. Lencina K. 3. Moreno A. 8. Nunez G. 2. Rios N. 7. Santilli E. 6. Teran I. (C) 11. Velazquez J. 5. Veloso L. 4. Yocco L.
Substitutes
19. Dezi L. 17. Esmay V. 14. Giaccone F. 18. Hang F. 20. Paileman R. 16. Silva A. 13. Silva F. 12. Ullua S. (G) 15. Vallejos I.	14. Castillo A. 20. De Hoyos D. 18. Gonzalez A. 12. Grigera F. (G) 16. Moron G. 15. Navarro G. 19. Oliveri T. 17. Soto O. 13. Sveruk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Kostelak A. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
45+1', Conde M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟨,
49', (Penalty Awarded),
58', Carcamo F. 🟨,
59', Conde M. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Diaz R. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ))

Guillermo Brown is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Germinal is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Guillermo Brown is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTT
- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Alvarado - Germinal	5:0 ✺
28.06.26	Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Villa Mitre - Germinal	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1
27.07.25	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:0
18.05.25	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	1:2
16.03.25	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:2

Guillermo Brown - Germinal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide