Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	Deportivo Sanarate		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.95	4
	1.77	3.15	4.5
	1.83	3.24	5.17
	1.78	3.1	4.4
	1.77	3.36	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	4.5 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Sanarate
50.8%

Draw
28.9%

Xelajú
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

18.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Sanarate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Sanarate than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Sanarate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xelajú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Sanarate - Xelajú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Sanarate is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Xelajú is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sanarate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sanarate is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sanarate won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sanarate won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Sanarate
Guatemala Liga Nacional
24.04.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Sanarate	1:0 ✺
21.04.21	Deportivo Sanarate - Deportivo Iztapa	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Sanarate	3:0 ✺
14.04.21	Deportivo Sanarate - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Sanarate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTT
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.04.21	Xelajú - Deportivo Sacachispas	3:1 ✺
21.04.21	Cobán Imperial - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.12.20	Xelajú - Deportivo Sanarate	2:1
01.02.20	Xelajú - Deportivo Sanarate	1:1
03.11.19	Deportivo Sanarate - Xelajú	1:0
24.08.19	Xelajú - Deportivo Sanarate	2:2
05.05.19	Xelajú - Deportivo Sanarate	1:1
06.03.19	Deportivo Sanarate - Xelajú	1:0
27.10.18	Xelajú - Deportivo Sanarate	4:1

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