Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Winston Pineda (Jutiapa)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America


	Deportivo Achuapa		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.85
	2.32	2.88	2.98
	2.45	2.83	3.73
	2.45	2.81	3.27	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.27	3.23	3.13	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.6)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	3.07 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Achuapa
38.4%

Draw
31.7%

Xelajú
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

31%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xelajú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xelajú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 88. Carabali Y. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 4. Gaitan M. 10. Macal E. 91. Matta A. 7. Mejia C. 66. Santos C. 2. Suazo D. 25. Tiul K. 9. Williams J.	22. Lobos N. (G) 16. Cardona J. 18. Castaneda J. 7. Diaz Y. 9. Escobar J. 14. Gonzalez J. 77. Longo J. 10. Lopez A. 24. Marquez R. 4. Romero M. 13. Tebalan W.
Substitutes
36. Aquino D. 29. Asprilla J. . Carias P. 8. de Leon I. 22. Gonzalez C. . Martir A. . Palma D. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Sanchez E.	23. Calderon R. 11. Cardenas S. 26. Cardoza E. 29. Chang E. (G) 6. de Leon M. 70. Jaen Y. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 90. Quinonez O. 25. Ruiz K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Escobar J. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
40', Suazo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cardona J. ↓, de Leon M. ↑,
58', Suazo D. ↓, de Leon I. ↑,
61', Carabali Y. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
72', Marquez R. ↓, Jaen Y. ↑,
79', Mejia C. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
79', de Leon I. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
87', Carabali Y. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 3.

Achuapa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Xelajú has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Achuapa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.02.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Municipal - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Achuapa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 TWTWW
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.02.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Malacateco - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Xelajú - Marquense	4:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.02.26	Monterrey - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.02.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.11.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0
07.09.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	4:1
05.03.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	0:3
19.01.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	2:0
26.10.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
11.08.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	0:0
10.04.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	4:1

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