The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Santaní 57.9%
Draw 24.6%
Guaireña 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
21.4%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.8%
20.5%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Santaní's form might have worsened.
Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Santaní, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Deportivo Santaní - Guaireña Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Casanova W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Copa de Primera (Apertura: ) and 14th).
Deportivo Santaní is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Guaireña is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Guaireña may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Deportivo Santaní enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Deportivo Santaní in today's match, at odds of 1.34.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Santaní has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Santaní against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).