Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 19

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3


	Deportivo Santaní		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.80
	1.80	3.20	3.95
	1.84	3.32	3.88
	1.89	3.41	4.07	Watch
	1.76	3.35	3.80
	1.76	3.61	4.48
	1.80	3.25	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.72)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	3.98 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Santaní
50.1%

Draw
27.1%

Sportivo Carapeguá
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Santaní, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Mereles J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Vogado E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).

Deportivo Santaní is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Carapeguá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Deportivo Santaní has had a series of home games.

In this match, Deportivo Santaní is the team to beat.

We predict that Deportivo Santaní will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Santaní won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Santaní won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Santani	27	17	3	7	46:25	21	54
6	Sp. Carapegua	28	12	6	10	36:41	-5	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Santaní
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Deportivo Santaní - Paraguarí	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Deportivo Santaní - Fernando de la Mora	2:3 ✺
11.07.26	3 de Noviembre - Deportivo Santaní	0:4 ✺
05.07.26	Deportivo Santaní - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.08.26	3 de Noviembre - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - General Caballero JLM	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.04.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	1:0
28.08.25	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Carapeguá	4:1
25.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	4:0
28.07.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	1:0
22.04.24	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1

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