The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Saprissa 54.3%
Draw 26.5%
Herediano 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
29.3%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
28.9%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Madriz A. (G) 27. Taylor S. 3. Arboine P. 21. Escobar F. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 25. Acuna S. 20. Torres M. (C) 28. Torres G. 23. Paradela L. 24. Sinclair O. 7. Williams N.
1. Carvajal D. (G) 16. Araya D. 99. Brown K. 21. Rubio E. 5. Quiros H. 24. Rodriguez S. 25. Bravo E. 22. Murillo A. 27. Suarez A. 10. Aguilar E. (C) 33. Lesme F.
Substitutes
13. Alfaro I. (G) 19. Arboine K. 39. Barahona A. 50. Elizondo M. 52. Gonzalez A. 8. Guzman D. 5. Mora J. 14. Rodriguez A. 26. Soto A. 17. Taylor Dosman G. G.
11. Araya R. 37. Fuller K. 34. Henestrosa J. 32. Hudson A. 26. Juarez E. 97. Leal R. 31. Lezcano A. (G) 80. Matthews D. 20. Rivera R. 55. Roman Y.
Coaches
Medford H.
Wanchope P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Sinclair O. ⚽,
12', Quiros H. 🟨,
45+3', Bravo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bravo E. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
46', Suarez A. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
46', Taylor S. ↓, Taylor Dosman G. G. ↑,
50', Lesme F. ↓, Matthews D. ↑,
59', Paradela L. 🟨,
70', Paradela L. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
71', Aguilar E. ↓, Leal R. ↑,
75', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
77', Quiros H. ↓, Fuller K. ↑,
78', Guzman D. 🟨,
79', Torres M. 🟨,
80', Williams N. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
87', Brown K. 🟨,
87', Sinclair O. 🟨,
90', Rubio E. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Torres M. ⚽,
90+2', Hudson A. 🟨,
90+4', Torres M. ↓, Barahona A. ↑,
90+4', Sinclair O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+5', Rubio E. 🟥,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saprissa won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Saprissa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Saprissa carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saprissa has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saprissa against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 17:5 goals (averaging 1.7:0.5 per game).
Costa-rica
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Madriz A. (G) 
Escobar F. 
Torres M. (C) 
Paradela L. 
Rubio E. 
Lesme F. 
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