Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez (Ciudad Quesada)

Referee: Gomez D. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX, Tigo Sports


	San Carlos		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.73
	3.9	3.4	1.77
	3.95	3.35	1.82	Watch
	4.25	3.65	1.84
	4.53	3.57	1.78	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.75
	4.72	3.4	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.29)	3.41 ↓ (3.43)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Carlos
21.7%

Draw
26.9%

Deportivo Saprissa
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

27.2%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez M. (G) 22. Aguero J. 18. Aguilar J. 10. Cerdas K. 17. Evans J. 31. Hernandez E. 9. Martinez B. 5. Martinez C. 30. Masis D. 20. Rivera R. (C) 26. Rojas O.	40. Madriz A. (G) 3. Arboine P. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 12. Blanco R. 10. Brenes J. 23. Paradela L. 9. Rodriguez T. 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 28. Torres G. 20. Torres M. 4. Waston K.
Substitutes
15. Calvo A. 33. Castro G. 11. Cordoba R. 4. Fonseca P. 38. Gomez K. 7. Guevara A. 19. McDonald J. 12. Sanchez D. 70. Solano C. 23. Vega J. (G)	30. Alvarez M. (G) 27. Chirino R. 43. Cordero M. 50. Elizondo M. 42. Gonzalez J. 38. Gonzalez K. 11. Loria M. 49. Myrie J. 14. Rodriguez A. 24. Sinclair O.
Coaches
Centeno W.	Medford H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Hernandez E. 🟨,
23', Evans J. 🟨,
32', Martinez C. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Waston K. ⚽,
45+3', Brenes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hernandez E. ↓, Cordoba R. ↑,
46', Evans J. ↓, Calvo A. ↑,
65', Cerdas K. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
70', Torres G. ↓, Sinclair O. ↑,
70', Rodriguez T. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
71', Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 🟨,
75', Aguilar J. ↓, McDonald J. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Brenes J. ⚽,
80', Masis D. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Paradela L. ⚽,
86', Paradela L. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
86', Brenes J. ↓, Myrie J. ↑,
90+1', Torres M. ↓, Loria M. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Martinez B. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

San Carlos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saprissa is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 14:40. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, San Carlos won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Saprissa	9	7	0	2	20:10	10	21
4	San Carlos	9	5	0	4	8:9	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
14.03.26	Sporting San José - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	San Carlos - Alajuelense	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Puntarenas FC - San Carlos	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	San Carlos - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	San Carlos - Herediano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLTTW
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.03.26	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Sporting San José	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Guadalupe - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:1
15.10.25	San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2
01.08.25	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:0
09.03.25	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	3:0
11.01.25	San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1
10.12.24	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:0
06.12.24	San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa	2:2

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