Match Info

Date: 15 March 2020, Sunday


	Deportivo Siquinalá		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.67	3.3	4.25
	1.66	3.24	4.55
	1.7	3.55	4.93
	1.7	3.2	4.75
	1.71	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.86)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	4.63 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Siquinalá
53.7%

Draw
26.8%

Santa Lucia
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.7%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

17.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Siquinalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Siquinalá than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Siquinalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Lucia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Siquinalá - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Siquinalá
Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.03.20	Deportivo Sanarate - Deportivo Siquinalá	1:0 ✺
06.03.20	Deportivo Siquinalá - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
29.02.20	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Siquinalá	1:0 ✺
23.02.20	Deportivo Siquinalá - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
15.02.20	Maglódi - Deportivo Siquinalá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Santa Lucia FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.03.20	Santa Lucia - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
08.03.20	Santa Lucia - Comunicaciones	1:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
07.03.20	Santa Lucia - Mosta	1:2 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.03.20	Maglódi - Santa Lucia	0:0 ✺
23.02.20	Santa Lucia - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.01.20	Santa Lucia - Deportivo Siquinalá	1:1
26.10.19	Deportivo Siquinalá - Santa Lucia	1:1
18.08.19	Santa Lucia - Deportivo Siquinalá	2:0

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