Match Info

Date: 26 October 2020, Monday


	Santa Lucia		Comunicaciones

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.65
	2.3	3.5	2.48
	2.42	3.3	2.55
	2.53	3.53	2.55
	2.4	3.2	2.62
	2.51	3.28	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.67)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.58 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
37.9%

Draw
26.9%

Comunicaciones
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.5%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.8%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Lucia's form might have worsened.

Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comunicaciones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+30.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Lucia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comunicaciones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	2.4%	81%

Santa Lucia - Comunicaciones Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Santa Lucia will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). Comunicaciones will win (votes: 34 - 81%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comunicaciones: 69.1% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Santa Lucia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
25.10.20	Santa Lucia - Valletta	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.10.20	Xelajú - Santa Lucia	0:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
16.10.20	Santa Lucia - Floriana	2:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.10.20	Santa Lucia - Malacateco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TWTWL
- CSD Comunicaciones
CONCACAF League
22.10.20	Motagua - Comunicaciones	3:2 penalties ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
17.10.20	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Iztapa	3:0 ✺
12.10.20	Comunicaciones - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Malacateco - Comunicaciones	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.09.20	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucia	2:0
08.03.20	Santa Lucia - Comunicaciones	1:3
23.10.19	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucia	1:0
14.08.19	Santa Lucia - Comunicaciones	1:1

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