The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Táchira 51.8%
Draw 27.6%
Angostura 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.2%
21.8%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
20.1%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Táchira's form might have worsened.
Angostura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Angostura's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+19%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Táchira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Angostura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
13.3%
0%
Deportivo Táchira - Angostura Predictions
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Táchira will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Camargo J. (G) 18. Rosales R. 16. Ruiz Diaz H. 22. Maidana M. 23. Hernandez Y. 15. Cova M. 24. Robles C. 8. Saggiomo D. 17. Pardo F. 25. Rios A. 19. Castillo J.
1. Lopez V. (G) 18. Lovera J. 4. Montanez A. 13. Matos A. 16. Silgado J. 80. Gomez C. 31. Gomez J. 17. Farreras A. 36. Gonzalez L. 26. Zamora T. 9. Velasco A.
Substitutes
1. Araque A. (G) 20. Calzadilla C. 13. Camacho P. 7. Castillo B. 5. Fioravanti L. 38. Gustavo L. 33. Hernandez N. 28. Mendoza G. 4. Quintero J. 9. Uribe A. 29. Vargas J. 27. Zuniga L.
33. Dominguez A. 24. Gallo M. (G) 2. Graterol J. 28. Pacheco J. 5. Pereira E. 79. Roca C. 7. Rondon J. 3. Saab K. 32. Zappacosta J.
Coaches
Sarago E.
Castillo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Saggiomo D. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Pardo F. ⚽, Rosales R. (A),
45', Rosales R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Gomez J. 🟨,
63', Lovera J. 🟨,
63', Robles C. ↓, Fioravanti L. ↑,
63', Pardo F. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
65', Gonzalez L. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
65', Gomez J. ↓, Zappacosta J. ↑,
65', Zamora T. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
77', Rosales R. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
79', Gomez C. 🟨,
82', Montanez A. ↓, Roca C. ↑,
82', Gomez C. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Lopez V. (Own goal),
90', Saggiomo D. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
90', Rios A. ↓, Calzadilla C. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).
Deportivo Táchira is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Angostura has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Angostura could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Deportivo Táchira is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Deportivo Táchira to win the game is with odds 1.43.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Táchira won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Táchira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.