The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Universitario 50.3%
Draw 27.9%
Herrera 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
25.5%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
24.3%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Universitario's form might have worsened.
Herrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Deportivo Universitario - Herrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. De la Cruz A. (G) 18. Acosta M. 27. Anderson I. 8. Clarke J. 2. Garcia J. 20. Maltez U. 6. Matos J. 21. Pimentel V. (C) 15. Saldana A. 5. Tobon J. 16. Yearwood A.
1. Cubilla J. (G) 16. Batchelor S. 3. Batchelor S. 6. Bethancourt F. 2. de la Espada J. 10. Gonzalez J. 17. Herrera J. 20. Lopez J. 40. Perez P. 15. Quintero K. 28. Rouse G.
Substitutes
99. Avila V. 9. Bolanos E. 4. Dean L. 14. Giron E. 10. McKenzie A. 24. Rangel R. 22. Reina R. 23. Rodriguez R. 19. Simons J.
29. Aristizabal J. 18. Castillo D. 26. Concepcion J. 4. Moreno M. 19. Penalba A. 21. Pinilla J. 22. Rivera O. 12. Santamaria I. (G) 7. Villarreal R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Lopez J. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Pimentel V. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Yearwood A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Clarke J. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
46', Perez P. ↓, Penalba A. ↑,
50', Herrera J. 🟨,
56', Herrera J. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
63', Pimentel V. ↓, Bolanos E. ↑,
68', de la Espada J. ↓, Rivera O. ↑,
68', Gonzalez J. ↓, Concepcion J. ↑,
78', Lopez J. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
78', Maltez U. ↓, Avila V. ↑,
78', Saldana A. ↓, Rangel R. ↑,
90+3', Acosta M. ↓, Giron E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CD Universitario won 0.
CD Universitario is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Herrera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Herrera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, CD Universitario is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CD Universitario won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, CD Universitario won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).